The Mex Files

Upside-down world

November, 20, 2008 · No Comments

With the socialists complaining that the capitalists are stealing all their good ideas, it’s time to look at a few other assumptions that aren’t working out as the U.S. press insisted they would.   Without opening PEMEX to foreign (i.e., major U.S.) oil company investiment, PEMEX was supposed to collapse, and without privatizing the gas stations, we’d have huge shortages caused by our gas subsidy.  And… of course the Mexican auto industry would collapse.

The prospect of deep-water petroleum exploration in the Gulf by foreign companies, at the heart of the PEMEX reforms was assumed, in the U.S. to benefit the private majors.  Au contraire:  the companies that will be drilling in the Gulf are the Colombian firm Ecopetro and the Italian ENI.

Under the new PEMEX rules, these companies are only service contractors.  They have the rights to drill in certain blocks, but under no circumstances will they become owners of the oil.  That has not changed.

What has also not changed was what everyone who wanted PEMEX to privatize was calling our “gasoline subsidy”.  As I was beating my head to explain, it was the not a subsidy, but simply that gasoline prices were set as if it had been refined within Mexico, but — due to a refinery shortage — was being processed in the United States.  With the drop in U.S. gasoline prices, Mexican gasoline is now more expensive than most of the U.S.

The PEMEX reforms include funding for building more refinery capacity within Mexico, so what right now is a premium is a tax intended to finance self-sufficiency.

And… Volkswagen de Mexico is having another banner year.

As of Tuesday, the [Puebla] plant had made 411,000 cars this year, Volkswagen de Mexico said in a press release. The plant set its production record in 2000, when it manufactured 425,000 cars.

Finally, in what’s the upside-down-est of all, the new U.S. administration has turned to Mexican advisor to straighten out its screwed up energy policy. Mario Molina, the Mexican chemist who followed up his Nobel Prize in Chemistry (1995) with a stint as a pollution abatement advisor to the Federal District, is being hired by the Obama Administration to work on global warming issues.

→ No CommentsCategories: Automotive industry · Economy & Business · Environment · Oil and PEMEX

Socialists Unite… and head for the beach

November, 19, 2008 · 2 Comments

With the world news focused on the United States’ economic meltdown and the incoming Obama Administration, the Iraq War and… here in Mexico… the Mourino air crash and the war on (some) drugs, there’s been almost no coverage of this.  The governing council of Socialist International — a world-wide body of various socialist, social-democratic and labor parties — is meeting in Puerta Vallarta.

Almost nothing has appeared in the press on this, and it is more or less a policy session for these various parties.  SI president, George Papandreau of the Greek socialist party, PASOK, perhaps was speaking ironically when he opened the session with remarks on the “danger” of socialist priniciples becoming fashionable during the economic crisis:

“For us, this development was a pleasant surprise, but we do not want to become a fashion. We want our principles and values to remain clear and stable. We have a great responsibility to make things clear, as conservative forces have created an upheaval. However, the challenge we are facing is historic,” Papandreou said.

The SI president presented five proposals for a way out of the economic crisis.

Firstly, the creation of a fund for social protection in order for social security to be guaranteed, particularly in developing countries.

Secondly, the establishment of a special fund which will support small and medium-size businesses and the employees working in them. ?This will be an answer to one of the greatest problems of the international economic crisis,? Papandreou said.

Thirdly, the creation of a special fund which will undertake the support of fluidity in the economy.

Fourthly, special measures for the support of developing countries and their economies, which must have fluidity so that they do not end up bankrupt.

Fifthly, the promotion of the necessary reforms in the international organizations, such as the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the World Trade Organisation.

Nothing particularly remarkable in all this, but SI vice-president and host of the conference, is PRI chair Beatriz Paredes Rangel. We sometimes overlook the fact that the largest Mexican party, the PRI, and the third largest, PRD, are both socialist parties. Paredes has been trying during her tenure to move her party back to the left, and away from the “technocratic” and centerist role in Mexican politics. What was most notable at this Puerta Vallarta meeting was that Paredes is suggesting a merger between PRI and PRD.

Notimex)

La Presidenta? (Photo: Notimex)

Party switching is not a sin in Mexican politics, nor is changing coalition partners.  The Greens were at one time allied with PAN, but having been frozen out of cabinet positions during the Fox Administration, have partnered with PRI.  Fox, incidentally, would not have won the presidency without Green and two smaller (now defunct) Social Democratic party support.  The PRI remains the largest party in Mexico, but PAN has been able to win national elections (assuming it did win) because of the split between them and PRD.

The PRD seems to be hopelessly split between two factions, with the AMLO-led faction which also theatens to break the “FAP” congressional coalition of the PRD, Convergencia and the Workers’ Party.  AMLO, and his wing of the PRD may move to Convergencia, which would open the way for Paredes to unite PRD and PRI, at least create a strong fusion ticket that would represent over half the electorate.  It could, conceivably, also work with the further left Convergencia and Workers’ Party in local elections (or at the national level) or the Social Democrats, who are not members of SI.

I don’t know what the former Tlaxcala governor’s long-range ambitions are, but I wouldn’t be at all surprised if she was the PRI presidential candidate in 2012… or Mexico’s first woman president. At the conference, Paredes outlined her own suggestions for the Mexican party, mostly financial protection for the poorest workers, more assistance to agricultural sectors and safe-guarding the political process from narco-dollars.  The latter may cost her some party officials (quite a few, depending on who you listen to), but still, it’s not all that radical.  And, a purge of those party leaders suspected of corruption (like Governor Ulises Ruiz of Oaxaca) might improve the PRI’s image with voters who backed PAN on the theory that it was somehow more “honest” than the others, but are having buyers’ remorse at this point.

And, by the way, there is no United States party represented in Socialist International.  There’s a small informal “Democratic Socialists” organization in the U.S., but it has nothing to do with the Democratic party, nor any other U.S. party.  The only Socialist in Federal office that I can think of is Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont… and given what the Socialists International is talking about between dips in the ocean and trips to Senor Frog’s, they don’t sound all that radical right now.

→ 2 CommentsCategories: AMLO · Agriculture · Beatriz Paredes · Economy & Business · FAP (PRD-PT-Convergencia) · Informal economy · Jalisco · Minor parties · PAN · PRD · PRI · Politica (Mexicana) · Provincia · Puerto Vallarta

Ritmo, not Gitmo, to undo Cheney?

November, 19, 2008 · 3 Comments

Updates in bold-face italics.

WOW!

Vice President Dick Cheney and former Attorney General Alberto Gonzales have been indicted on state charges involving federal prisons in a South Texas county that has been a source of bizarre legal and political battles under the outgoing prosecutor.

The indictment returned Monday has not yet been signed by the presiding judge, and no action can be taken until that happens….

Cheney is charged with engaging in an organized criminal activity related to the vice president’s investment in the Vanguard Group, which holds financial interests in the private prison companies running the federal detention centers. It accuses Cheney of a conflict of interest and “at least misdemeanor assaults” on detainees because of his link to the prison companies.

Megan Mitchell, a spokeswoman for Cheney, declined to comment on Tuesday, saying that the vice president had not yet received a copy of the indictment.

The indictment accuses Gonzales of using his position while in office to stop an investigation in 2006 into abuses at one of the privately-run prisons.

Gonzales’ attorney, George Terwilliger III, said in a written statement, “This is obviously a bogus charge on its face, as any good prosecutor can recognize.” He said he hoped Texas authorities would take steps to stop “this abuse of the criminal justice system.”

Willacy County has become a prison hub with county, state and federal lockups. Guerra has gone after the prison-politician nexus before, extracting guilty pleas from three former Willacy and Webb county commissioners after investigating bribery related to federal prison contacts.

Last month, a Willacy County grand jury indicted The GEO Group, a Florida private prison company, on a murder charge in the death of a prisoner days before his release. The three-count indictment alleged The GEO Group allowed other inmates to beat Gregorio de la Rosa Jr. to death with padlocks stuffed into socks. The death happened in 2001 at the Raymondville facility.

In 2006, a jury ordered the company to pay de la Rosa’s family $47.5 million in a civil judgment. The Cheney-Gonzales indictment makes reference to the de la Rosa case.

None of the indictments released Tuesday had been signed by Presiding Judge Manuel Banales of the Fifth Administrative Judicial Region.

It’s not that I haven’t — and a lot of us haven’t — wondered what’s going on with those rent-a-pens in Willacy County, home of the largest private concentration camp in the United States and a violator of all kinds of Texas laws, not to mention an affront to human decency… but this is amazing.  If nothing else, it may bring to light these abuses.

Probably nothing will come of it — although Presiding Judge Manuel Banales has set an arraignment date for Friday (but also ruled that Cheney, and co-defendant Alberto Gonzales, need not appear in person. Willarcy County politics is more bizarre than even Mexican politics, and  I have no way of keeping up with this story.  South Texas Chisme is probably the best source for reading up on the antics of District Attorney Juan Angel Guerra (who “couldbetrue” calls “D.A. Hissy Fit”), but then, a Grand Jury can do pretty much whatever it wants… even indicting Dick Cheney.  Another great source (and a very good, often overlooked news source for border and north Mexico news) is the McAllen Monitor.

→ 3 CommentsCategories: Border Issues · Corrections Corporation of America · Crime and Punishment · Dick Cheney · Economy & Business · Evil-doers · GEO Group · Morditas and bribery · Prisons · Texas

Miscellenous updates

November, 18, 2008 · No Comments

The plane crash that killed Juan Camilo Mouriño and Jose Luis Vasconcellos, among others, has been offically explained as an accident… which has opened a whole new can of worms.  Part of the problem with getting Mexicans to accept the explanation (that the Learjet was following a jumbo jet too closely and ran into turbulance) can be blamed on U.S. Ambassador Antonio Garza, Jr. who … for no discernable reason… called a press conference to blab that U.S. investigators had analyized the “black box” recorder and found no evidence of sabatage.  True enough, but what Tony Garza had to do with that information, or why he would be privy to it before the Mexican authorities had concluded their investigations did nothing to clear the air so to speak.

PAN Senate leader Gustavo Madero complained that Garza showed disrespect, and spoke out of turn, while former Presidential candidate Francisco Labstida, speaking for PRI, said “The Ambassador really likes to talk.  He talks a lot”.

While people are going to spin conspiracy theories no matter what, other questions — why did the Secretariat buy a plane known to have control problems?; why was maintenance and service (including the pilots) outsourced to a private company?; why was there an inexperienced pilot flying the plane?; why did an executive helicoper in the same area NOT experience turbulence? — are still unanswered.

Given the comments by “alejandro” to my original post on Mouriño, back when he was first nominated for Sec. de Gob. all questions about Mouriño and his family contracts with PEMEX are probably the fault of the “jewish media” anyway.

Another recent commentator, Larry Gwaltney, seemed to think think U.S. talking head Michelle Malkin’s status as an “anchor baby” is somehow different given that Ms. Malkin’s father was a green-card holder at the time of her birth, he may want to take a look at the source I quoted.  There was no guarantee that Ms. Malkin’s parents would have remained legal residents at the time of her birth, nor had they lost their residency permission, would it have been any different from that of many other so-called (by Malkin) “anchor babies”.

I’d point out that so are a lot of the so-called “anchor babies” which is itself an insulting term and legally meaningless. As to his suggestion that I’m a supporter of La Raza, or that it is a “racist” organization, I’m not sure where he got that, unless he pulled it out of his ass. I’m not sure La Raza is aware of my existence or not… never having been formally introduced…Gwatney’s contention that somehow the KKK and “La Raza” are equivalent I’ve heard before — from people who don’t know Spanish. “Raza”, as I get a little tired of explaining, means “nationality”, not “race” as the term is used in the United States. nor is La Raza known for anti-semitism, anti-Catholicism, segregation by “color” or lynching.  Ms. Malkin has notably defended the World War II era Japanese concentration camps and suggested Americans of Arab extraction also be incarcerated.  If the hood fits…

Otto Rock, the only Latin American business writer you need, knows a good investment when he sees one:

…put in an order or seven for this book.

ggg-netad-shortest22222

(Orders before Christmas include shipping:  $24.95 via paypal: mazbook@prodigy.net.mx)

→ No CommentsCategories: Uncategorized

The fourth North American nation…

November, 18, 2008 · No Comments

… after 25 November, the North American Free Trade Agreeement might have to be amended, or the name changed.  Greenlanders go to the polls to decide whether to seek full independence from their present status as a dependency of the Danish monarchy in favor of a semi-autonomous republic and eventual full independence.  Greenland would be one of the larger nations on earth by size (three times the size of Texas, or about 10% larger than Mexico) but with a population of only 57,000.  Even with global warming, it’s unlikely to be a banana republic, but besides the fisheries, there is gold, diamonds, oil and fresh water (increasing a marketable commodity) that the larger nations’ and multi-nationals would love to get their paws on.  Unless, of course, there is an Inuit version of Fidel Castro waiting in the wings.  Never know.

→ No CommentsCategories: Americas (outside U.S. and Mexico) · Economy & Business · Environment · Fisheries · Mining · Multinationals

Wonk-landia

November, 18, 2008 · No Comments

The breathlessly awaited “Informe 2008″ published every November by Corporación Latinobarómetro (Santiago de Chile).  This is the very detailed annual survey of social and political attitudes throughout Latin America that, in something of an annual tradition, is cherry-picked by U.S. commentators to try to spin whatever the policy de jour is… as BoRev.net writes:

Every year the Chilean polling firm Latinobarometro releases the latest round of public opinion polling data from 18 Latin American countries, and every year Venezuela comes out on top in all the democracy and quality of life categories, and every year the press has no idea what to do with that, so they cover some marginally relevant data point en masse, and ignore the rest. It’s become a Thanksgiving tradition, like triptophan!

Venezuela isn’t my beat, particularly, so I’ll leave that to Bo.  I have downloaded the entire PDF file to start my own cherry-picking, but haven’t really started plowing though it yet.  One thing that caught my attention (page 24) though was that while “deliquency” and public security issues were the number one social problem mentioned by Mexicans, it was only put at the top of the list by a third (33%) of respondents.  This is far below the number of Venezuelans (57%) who also put it at the top of their worry list.  What I realized is that the number of respondents who mentioned “deliquency” nearly matches the percentage of voters who opted for PAN in the last Presidential election… for whom crime control was THE campaign issue.

I don’t mean that PAN didn’t win the election (though they may not have, based on other factors), nor that crime prevention shouldn’t be an important policy goal, but that it isn’t the overriding issue that foreign media often makes it out to be.  Nor that the policies used by this particular administration are universally backed, or even considered effective.

I thought of that when I read yesterday’s posting in “Bloggings by Boz“.  Quoting stories in both the Washington Times and the Los Angeles Times on Mexican narcotics-export outlets extending their business practices to the United States (how’s that a nice way of saying “murder and mayhem”?), Boz writes:

The worst case scenario for the US is that the cartel wars take place inside of our country. The best way to prevent that scenario is to start helping Mexico, Central America and the Caribbean improve their governments, economic development and security. We need the Merida Initiative money to start flowing and we may need to think beyond the Merida Initiative towards a more extensive program.

Boz is my native guide to the strange and exotic world of inside-the-Washington-beltway Latin American think-tank wonklandia. Obviously, the wonks are starting to push for spending that Merida Initiative money (which won’t be going to Mexican crime control, but to U.S. “consultants” and suppliers) rather than deal with an issue caused by the huge market for narcotics within the United States. With only a third of Mexicans even identifying delinquency as the number one social problem, and less than that buying the present administration’s anti-crime policies, this won’t be an easy sell for the U.S. government. And… the idea of the U.S. government “helping Mexico” has a long history of being seen as interference for the benefit of the United States. It ain’t gonna fly.

Given that the whole anti-narco policy within Mexico has been to drive the crooks out of the country, the present administration has been somewhat successful, if the news stories aren’t exaggerated, and the cartels are moving their operations to the United States. And… maybe the United States will start dealing with their narcotics use problem once a few heads start to roll… into the offices of the Washington Times or the Los Angeles Times… or a few narco-mantas start appearing on the overpasses of the Washington beltway.

That’s my spin, and I’m stickin’ to it.

→ No CommentsCategories: Americas (outside U.S. and Mexico) · Border Issues · Crime and Punishment · Drugs · Economy & Business · Gun runners · Plan Merida

Hyprocrisy at its best

November, 17, 2008 · 1 Comment

Having written so well on his own fears and thwarted hopes as an “illegal alien”, the anonomous college student who calls himself “the shadow” had a good laugh over the weekend:

I couldn’t help but laugh when I found about this. I’ll quote the article of what I’m talking about.

Note to Malkin's lawyers -- yes, you morons, of course it's photoshopped!

Photoshopped? Yeah, well... close enough

Michelle Malkin, born Michelle Maglalang, is a dark skinned Filipino-American who loves the worst that white American civilization has to offer. Malkin is a darling of the right wing, a blogger and author who is eager to advocate invading other nations, and spewing hatred of immigrants in general and of Muslims in particular.

Malkin constantly rails against immigration, complaining about “drive by” and “accidental” citizenship attained by the children of immigrants who she and others label “anchor” and “jackpot”babies.

Malkin never told her loyal readership that her father came to the United States in 1970 on a temporary work visa. She was born in October 1970. Malkin is herself a jackpot baby, given automatic citizenship when her parents were not even permanent residents. The truth may set you free, but it doesn’t get you on Fox news.

She is an ‘anchor’ baby

He-he-heee.

→ 1 CommentCategories: Gringo(landia) · Human Rights · Indocumentados · Media · Michelle Malkin · Right Wing Idiots

Adios to the white princess…

November, 17, 2008 · No Comments

volcan_iztaccihuatl

Take a good look at Iztaccíhuatl while you can… her glacier may be completely gone within ten years, due to climate change, according to Hugo Delgado Granados of UNAM’s Department of Geophysical Sciences.  Should Iztaccíhuatl lose her snow cap, the loss will be more than aesthetic… the glacier is holding in place tons of boulders which will come crashing down and will release mudslides and floods on the agricultural lands below.

Iztaccíhuatl– the “white princess” — is one of the more dramatic sights in Mexico City.  Although I saw it a couple of times a week while teaching a class at a plastics factory in Tlahuac, taking the bus east from the Taxquena Metro Station this was always an impressive sight as we crossed into Tlahuac.  She is the princess guarded (we thought) for all eternity by her faithful warrior lover, Popaca, the Romeo of the Aztec “Romeo and Juliet” who still — literally — bears a torch for her.  She rests uneasily under her white blanket… we thought… safe forever and and a mainstay of kitsch calendar art:

pintura_03

→ No CommentsCategories: Ciudad de México · Environment · Tláhuac · Volcanos

Sunday readings: 16 November 2008

November, 16, 2008 · 1 Comment

Playing both sides of the fence

Dr. Jason Dormandy, who teaches Mexican history (hey… I can recommend a good book) at Stephen F. Austin State University in Texas writes wide ranging “Reflections on Latin America” as in this piece, covering the travel literature of the late Bruce Chatwin, the meaning of mountains and the interconnectedness of the Americas. And music:

Glenn Weyant … plays the U.S./Mexico border fence with a cello bow. And mallets. And sticks. And an egg whisk. I meant it when I said he was an interesting character.

Looking at the fence between the United States and Mexico in Nogales, Glenn set out to overcome this fairly unnatural divide in the landscape and the people with music, and what better music could their be to bring two sides of a fence together than to play the actual fence. Glenn says on his web site that that he wants the listener to ask themselves “What is it I am hearing? Why do these things exist? Who is kept in and who is kept out?” And in the end, his big vision is to change the wall from “an implement of division” into “an instrument of creation with the power to unite.”

How long has this been goin’ on?

Joseph Nevins and Timothy Dunn on the history of the border wall and the immigration “crisis” (14-16 November 2008 Counterpunch):

It is unclear when the U.S. government first began constructing barriers along the boundary, but through most of the 20th century, they were few and far between, located in urbanized areas and often in a state of disrepair and easily breachable. The absence for more than a century of strong physical barriers along the boundary reflects how immigration and boundary enforcement were largely nonissues until relatively recently. Prior to the 1970s, the U.S.-Mexico border rarely received national-level attention. When it did—as around the time of the infamous Operation Wetback in 1954—it was short-lived.

But matters began to change in the late 1960s in the context of a growing conservative-led war on crime and drug use, which pointed the finger at Mexico as a source of illicit commodities. The guest-worker Bracero Program (initiated in 1942) had ended in 1964, which led to the formally legal migrant labor influx (of up to 450,000 workers each year, totaling some 4.5 million over its existence) going underground and a significant increase in Border Patrol apprehensions of unauthorized migrants. Moreover, the deep recession of the early 1970s took place at the same time that the head of the U.S. Immigration and Naturalization Service (INS) launched a highly effective public relations campaign warning of the dangers of unauthorized migration. [1] Together, these developments helped to bring unprecedented attention to the U.S.-Mexico border region and created the sense of an immigration “crisis.”

Could it be… SATAN?

Deborah Bonello, of the Los Angeles Times Mexico City bureau attends a book launch for a new profile of Jorge Serrano Limón, “Mexico’s most prominent Catholic fundamentalist and anti-abortion campaigner” (and one of the masterminds behind Martha Fox’s “Vamos Mexico” campaign — modeled on the Eva Peron Foundation of early 1950s Argentina, though with a much more right-ward political stance than Peron).

…when we arrived, attendees of the event were loitering outside on the sidewalk. “No hay luz,” they explained with a shrug. There was no electricity.  Last night, the light was only out in the Centro Cultural de Foco where the launch was scheduled to take place.

The organizers joked that it was sabotage, and friends of the authors reported that cables had been deliberately cut.

But we weren’t put off. At around 5:30pm we all shuffled into the building carefully, guided by candlelight into our seats. We sat in the darkness waiting for the presentation to start.

“Serrano Limón is a fundamentalist who thinks that the modern world is wrong,” stated Roberto Blancarte, a professor and investigator at the Colegio de Mexico and a specialist on religion. The organizers were sitting in front of a black backdrop on which had been mounted a simple, wooden cross.

And then, as Blancarte spoke, the light returned. An electric spotlight suddenly illuminated the speakers, cutting through the darkness like a celestial beam. The audience applauded.

“He epitomizes the right. He summarizes in brief what is a bigger phenomenon,” said Blancarte….

→ 1 CommentCategories: Uncategorized

Bretton Woods II

November, 15, 2008 · No Comments

I don’t expect a lot, though it is notable that the second-tier economies (Mexico, Brazil, India, South Africa, etc.) were actually included in the discussions for once.  From Mercopress (Montevideo, Uruguay):

The leaders also agreed to evaluate global accounting norms and the financing needs of international financial institutions.

Finally, they have agreed to draw up a list of financial institutions whose collapse would imperil the global financial system.

The plan said each country should act “as deemed appropriate to domestic conditions”, but stopped short of imposing a co-ordinated international stimulus plan.

“If you go through the document you see words like ‘reform of financial markets’, ‘transparency’, ‘integrity’ - it doesn’t really amount to a hill of beans,” John Terret, Al Jazeera’s correspondent in Washington DC, said.

“But what it does amount to is that we have seen for the first time under one roof here in Washigton DC, 20 of the key economic nations in the world. The crucial thing is that the emerging markets - the developing nations - are at the table as well.

“I think that really is an indication of how this crisis is being seen around the world, particularly in America - it’s serious and things have changed.”

→ No CommentsCategories: Economy & Business